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Jon Saxton's avatar

While Trump appears to be escalating the likelihood that Putin will become even more aggressive in Europe and that China will be even more aggressive in consolidating its dominion over SE Asia, I’m not convinced that this is about the threat of major wars.

I believe that Trump is all about transactions and that he is more likely helping Putin and Xi get into increasingly strong positions to leverage the threat of invasion and war to consolidate their dominion over Europe and Asia, respectively.

All of this would work to help accelerate and effectuate the division of dominion over Europe, The Americas, and SE Asia between, respectively, Putin, Trump, and Xi.

It’s all about Trump’s transactionalism.

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Peter Juul's avatar

What you describe here isn't all that transactional in my view and does fit in well with Trump's underlying antipathy toward democratic allies. But it does increase the risk of war - and again, it's a really subjective assessment and increased risk doesn't mean something will happen. Either way, though, it does make the world more dangerous.

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